Fundamental Analysis Introduction for Forex
You have now reached the 4th article in this free Forex course. This article willa briefly introduce you to fundamental analysis. Fundamental analysis is the most difficult aspect of Forex interpretation. It requires an extended period of learning fundamental concepts and their impact on the Forex market.
To learn a fundamental style of trading completely would require years of experience. So how can you take advantage of fundamental concepts without having those years of experience? The Forexezine provides the answer. You will receive articles that explain different fundamental market concepts - one concept at a time.
Over time you will have an increasing arsenal of fundamental concepts to add to your technical trading skills. Tips on how to compare fundamental results with technical signals will be given in the "Forex Fundamentals" issues of the Forexezine.
So what does fundamental analysis do? Fundamental analysis uses "economic indicators" and other news related information to determine an impact on Forex prices. These "economic indicators” are published at regular intervals and many of the International Banks use this data to forecast Forex trends. The economic
indicators measure how well an economy of a country is doing. This data can then be used to compare the economy of one country with another. The status of an economy will influence its exchange rate, so fundamental analysis provides us with ways to measure potential Forex trends.
When this data is made available to the public there is a reaction from investors and speculators. Information in the form of news and economic indicators is vaguer than that of technical indicators. There is a lot of gray area in this type of Analysis. The market will ultimately react to how people think the economic data compares to the current market situation.
Economic indicators usually reveal information that "Should cause a currency to go up in price" or "May cause a currency to go down". The words 'should' & 'may' in the quotes above reveal the ambiguity of the fundamental data. Here is an example of what analyzing fundamental data is like. Let's suppose there are six economic indicators (there are a lot more). Let's call our six indicators A, B, C, D, E, & F. Now we wait for the data from our indicators to be published in a financial magazine or at an online source. We manage to get the readings for our economic data for the EURO:
I do not want to discourage you away from fundamental data. The best way to learn is one piece at a time. Eventually you will build a puzzle from all of the fundamental and technical data and make more informed trading decisions. At this point I am going to list some of the most commonly used fundamental indicators (sometimes referred to as economic indicators).
To learn a fundamental style of trading completely would require years of experience. So how can you take advantage of fundamental concepts without having those years of experience? The Forexezine provides the answer. You will receive articles that explain different fundamental market concepts - one concept at a time.
Over time you will have an increasing arsenal of fundamental concepts to add to your technical trading skills. Tips on how to compare fundamental results with technical signals will be given in the "Forex Fundamentals" issues of the Forexezine.
So what does fundamental analysis do? Fundamental analysis uses "economic indicators" and other news related information to determine an impact on Forex prices. These "economic indicators” are published at regular intervals and many of the International Banks use this data to forecast Forex trends. The economic
indicators measure how well an economy of a country is doing. This data can then be used to compare the economy of one country with another. The status of an economy will influence its exchange rate, so fundamental analysis provides us with ways to measure potential Forex trends.
When this data is made available to the public there is a reaction from investors and speculators. Information in the form of news and economic indicators is vaguer than that of technical indicators. There is a lot of gray area in this type of Analysis. The market will ultimately react to how people think the economic data compares to the current market situation.
Economic indicators usually reveal information that "Should cause a currency to go up in price" or "May cause a currency to go down". The words 'should' & 'may' in the quotes above reveal the ambiguity of the fundamental data. Here is an example of what analyzing fundamental data is like. Let's suppose there are six economic indicators (there are a lot more). Let's call our six indicators A, B, C, D, E, & F. Now we wait for the data from our indicators to be published in a financial magazine or at an online source. We manage to get the readings for our economic data for the EURO:
Indicator A: is in a range where the Euro may go upBy looking at the above indicators, you don't know what the Euro is going to do. Furthermore, currencies are always traded in pairs (explained in more detail in Forex Demo Account Setup). You would have to get the fundamental data for another currency pair and compare it with the EURO to make a trading decision. I think you can appreciate that this is no simple task.
Indicator B: is in a range where the Euro should go up
Indicator C: is in a range where the Euro could go down
Indicator D: is in a range where the Euro usually goes down
Indicator E: is in a range where the Euro could go up
Indicator F: is in a range where the Euro may go down
I do not want to discourage you away from fundamental data. The best way to learn is one piece at a time. Eventually you will build a puzzle from all of the fundamental and technical data and make more informed trading decisions. At this point I am going to list some of the most commonly used fundamental indicators (sometimes referred to as economic indicators).
- The Gross National Product (GNP). This number represents the total financial position of an entire country. This is probably the most referred to economic indicator (although by itself it does not provide enough info to make decisions).
- The Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Basically this is the GNP for the United States. This measure is still referenced, but is almost completely phased out of use. The term GNP has been used to represent GDP as well.
- Consumer Price Index (CPI). Measures retail prices in a country.
- Producer Price Index (PPI). Similar to the CPI, but for wholesale prices.
- GNP & GDP Deflator. Readjusts the GNP & GDP for inflation.
- Industrial Production (does not have an acronym).
- Capacity Utilization
- Unemployment rates also have an impact on foreign currency exchange rates.
- Personal Income has an impact on foreign currency exchange rates.
- Consumer Spending Indicators also influence Forex prices.
If you do not like the concept of fundamental analysis, you can certainly skip it altogether. There are plenty of purely technical systems out there for you to trade with (like at 4xtrend). A key concept to technical analysis is that all of the fundamental data is ultimately revealed in the price anyway. And if you have a
system that must be triggered when the price goes up or down, then you have a great tool. The fundamental analysis issues of the Forexezine are purely for those people who are interested in them. Please send me an email at questions@4xtrend.com, and let me know if you are more interested in technical or fundamental trading. I will tailor the frequency of topics to the reader’s preference.
I always encourage you to drop me a line with any questions, suggestions for new articles, articles you have written, or just ideas related to the Forex. Please wait until after the next article to ask any questions about the Insider Secrets of Online Currency Trading course. I still have some more concepts to add to get you started trading in your own free demo account. There are a few more things that will help you get stated demo trading in Forex Demo Account Setup. You won't want to miss the next article.
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